THE NEXT FIVE
Your fixtures, read the way pros read them.
Real fixture run for every team over the next five. Who swings up, who swings down, without the color-block noise.
Get your fixture swings
Paste your FPL team ID. We'll pull your squad.
Free for 2025/26. No login, no data stored.
How to find your FPL IDTHE NEXT FIVE
Three swings. One clean read.
Teams ranked by real fixture strength, not the default 1 to 5. xG, xGA, and venue splits do the reading for you.
Swing Index
- ↑ Arsenal 4 of 5 at home · low xGA opponents2.1 avg FDR
- · Chelsea Mixed run · two top-six away3.8 avg FDR
- ↓ Brighton Three top-four opponents in five4.4 avg FDR
WHAT PILOT WEIGHS
Four signals. One real read.
FDR rebuilt from data that actually moves points, not the default colour scale.
Defence strength
Goals conceded, xGA, and clean sheet rates reveal which defences leak points and which shut teams out.
Attack strength
xG, shot volume, and big chance creation show how dangerous opponents are.
Home vs away splits
Some teams are fortresses at home but toothless away. FDR should account for venue, not just opponent.
Multi-week planning
One tough fixture is fine. Three in a row means you need a plan. Bench, sell, or ride it out.
How it works
Your squad in. The next five out.
01
Pulls real performance data
Uses xG, xGA, clean sheet rates, and home/away splits. Not the generic 1 to 5 FDR scale.
02
Maps your squad to the schedule
Shows fixture difficulty for each player you own across the next 6 gameweeks.
03
Highlights fixture swings
Flags players moving into green runs (buy) and red runs (sell or bench) so you can act early.
THE FULL READ
A better FPL fixture difficulty rating.
The default FPL fixture difficulty rating is a traffic-light heuristic. It treats every defence the same, every attack the same, and ignores home advantage. Useful for a first read, wrong about 30% of the time. FPL Pilot rebuilds FDR from the underlying data: expected goals created, expected goals conceded, clean sheet rates, home and away splits. The output is a fixture score that actually correlates with FPL returns.
xGA is more honest than goals conceded
A defence that rides high save percentages for a month will eventually regress. Goals conceded shows the luck, xGA shows the process. When a bottom-half defence has been overperforming, FPL Pilot grades their upcoming fixtures as harder than the colour-block FDR suggests. That is the edge: selling into overperformance before the template notices.
Home and away are not the same fixture
Some teams, like Arsenal, drop 0.3 goals per game away. Others, like Brighton, drop almost nothing. Treating a home fixture against the seventh-ranked attack the same as the away fixture is how people get captaincy wrong. FPL Pilot splits venue into a separate weight so a defender's home run against mid-table attacks grades easier than their away run against the same clubs.
Multi-week planning beats single-week reactions
One hard fixture in isolation is a bench call. Three hard fixtures in a row is a transfer. FPL Pilot shows you the next five gameweeks at once, flags the swings, and lets you plan transfers two weeks ahead of the crowd. Buying into a green run the week before it starts is how you lock in compounding points without paying the price rise later.
QUESTIONS
Fixtures, answered.
What managers ask when deciding who to hold and who to move.
What is FDR in FPL? +
FDR stands for Fixture Difficulty Rating. The official FPL site rates each fixture 1 to 5, but this is a rough guide. Advanced FDR uses expected goals data, recent form, and home/away splits for a more accurate picture.
How should fixture difficulty affect my transfers? +
Target players whose fixtures improve over the next 3 to 6 gameweeks. Buying a player just before a green run lets you ride the wave. Selling into a red run avoids dead weight.
Should I bench players with hard fixtures? +
Premium players should always start regardless of fixture. Mid-price and budget players can be benched for hard fixtures if you have a strong bench option with an easier game.
How far ahead should I plan with fixtures? +
Look 3 gameweeks ahead for transfers and 6 gameweeks ahead for wildcards and chips. Beyond 6 weeks, fixture difficulty becomes less predictive.
FREE FOR 2025/26
Point at your team. Plan the run.
Your 15 in. A five-week fixture read out. No colour-block guessing. No login.
Get your fixture swings
Paste your FPL team ID. We'll pull your squad.