FPL Transfer Watchlist GW31: Price Risers and Targets
The players worth buying, selling, and watching ahead of Gameweek 31.
This post is older than 60 days. Last updated 12 March 2026. Check FPL Pilot for the latest.
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João Pedro and Anderson are the most-transferred players this week, with both offering fixture runs that justify the move. Meanwhile, Van de Ven and Rogers are haemorrhaging owners as Spurs and Villa face difficult stretches. Cross-check against the GW31 injury list before committing your free transfer, since Pablo, White, and Elliott are all out and force the watchlist on a chunk of squads. Same logic applied at the previous deadline in our GW30 transfer watchlist if you want to track how the price-rise picks have evolved.
Price Risers to Buy Now
João Pedro, CHE (£7.7m)
Fixture run: GW31: @EVE | GW32: vsMCI | GW33: vsMUN Net transfers (24h): 208,322 (high confidence)
The most transferred-in player in the game right now. Chelsea’s fixtures are mixed but Pedro’s 0.45 xG per match makes him fixture-proof.
Anderson, NFO (£5.5m)
Fixture run: GW31: @TOT | GW32: vsAVL | GW33: vsBUR Net transfers (24h): 106,405 (high confidence)
Budget midfield enabler with a kind run from GW33 onwards. At £5.5m he frees up funds for premium upgrades elsewhere.
Senesi, BOU (£5.0m)
Fixture run: GW31: vsMUN | GW32: @ARS | GW33: @NEW Net transfers (24h): 99,511 (high confidence)
Bournemouth’s defensive record at home has been solid. Senesi offers clean sheet potential and set piece threat at a bargain price, though the fixture run toughens from GW32.
B.Fernandes, MUN (£10.1m)
Fixture run: GW31: @BOU | GW32: vsLEE | GW33: @CHE Net transfers (24h): 76,880 (high confidence)
Premium midfield pick with penalty duties. The next two fixtures are excellent before a trickier Chelsea trip in GW33.
Semenyo, MCI (£8.3m)
Fixture run: GW31: @CHE | GW32: vsARS | GW33: @BUR Net transfers (24h): 75,128 (high confidence)
City’s fixtures aren’t ideal short-term but Semenyo’s form is hard to ignore. Consider a GW33 entry point when the run improves. The longer view on which teams to target through GW36 sits in the GW31-36 fixture difficulty breakdown.
Top Transfer Targets by Projection
1. B.Fernandes, MUN (MID, £10.1m)
Projected: 5.94 pts | xG 0.30 | xA 0.37 | pStart 82%
2. Palmer, CHE (MID, £10.6m)
Projected: 4.87 pts | xG 0.34 | xA 0.09 | pStart 79%
3. Thiaw, NEW (DEF, £5.0m)
Projected: 4.73 pts | xG 0.19 | xA 0.05 | pStart 84%
4. Virgil, LIV (DEF, £6.2m)
Projected: 4.64 pts | xG 0.15 | xA 0.04 | pStart 84%
5. João Pedro, CHE (FWD, £7.7m)
Projected: 4.58 pts | xG 0.45 | xA 0.03 | pStart 76%
Sell Candidates
Van de Ven, TOT (£4.4m)
Price pressure: -167,617 net transfers (high) Fixture run: GW31: vsNFO | GW32: @SUN | GW33: vsBHA
Rogers, AVL (£7.5m)
Price pressure: -156,093 net transfers (high) Fixture run: GW31: vsWHU | GW32: @NFO | GW33: vsSUN
Roefs, SUN (£4.9m)
Price pressure: -123,220 net transfers (high) Fixture run: GW31: @NEW | GW32: vsTOT | GW33: @AVL
Budget Options
Garner, EVE (MID, £5.2m)
Value: 24.8 pts/£m | 129 total points
Stach, LEE (MID, £4.7m)
Value: 24.3 pts/£m | 114 total points
Anderson, NFO (MID, £5.5m)
Value: 23.8 pts/£m | 131 total points
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Prices and ownership from FPL API as of 2026-03-12. Subject to change before deadline.
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