FPL Transfer Watchlist GW31: Price Risers and Targets
The players worth buying, selling, and watching ahead of Gameweek 31.
João Pedro and Anderson are the most-transferred players this week, with both offering fixture runs that justify the move. Meanwhile, Van de Ven and Rogers are haemorrhaging owners as Spurs and Villa face difficult stretches. Cross-check against the GW31 injury list before committing your free transfer, since Pablo, White, and Elliott are all out and force the watchlist on a chunk of squads. Same logic applied at the previous deadline in our GW30 transfer watchlist if you want to track how the price-rise picks have evolved.
Price Risers to Buy Now
João Pedro, CHE (£7.7m)
Fixture run: GW31: @EVE | GW32: vsMCI | GW33: vsMUN Net transfers (24h): 208,322 (high confidence)
The most transferred-in player in the game right now. Chelsea’s fixtures are mixed but Pedro’s 0.45 xG per match makes him fixture-proof.
Anderson, NFO (£5.5m)
Fixture run: GW31: @TOT | GW32: vsAVL | GW33: vsBUR Net transfers (24h): 106,405 (high confidence)
Budget midfield enabler with a kind run from GW33 onwards. At £5.5m he frees up funds for premium upgrades elsewhere.
Senesi, BOU (£5.0m)
Fixture run: GW31: vsMUN | GW32: @ARS | GW33: @NEW Net transfers (24h): 99,511 (high confidence)
Bournemouth’s defensive record at home has been solid. Senesi offers clean sheet potential and set piece threat at a bargain price, though the fixture run toughens from GW32.
B.Fernandes, MUN (£10.1m)
Fixture run: GW31: @BOU | GW32: vsLEE | GW33: @CHE Net transfers (24h): 76,880 (high confidence)
Premium midfield pick with penalty duties. The next two fixtures are excellent before a trickier Chelsea trip in GW33.
Semenyo, MCI (£8.3m)
Fixture run: GW31: @CHE | GW32: vsARS | GW33: @BUR Net transfers (24h): 75,128 (high confidence)
City’s fixtures aren’t ideal short-term but Semenyo’s form is hard to ignore. Consider a GW33 entry point when the run improves. The longer view on which teams to target through GW36 sits in the GW31-36 fixture difficulty breakdown.
Top Transfer Targets by Projection
1. B.Fernandes, MUN (MID, £10.1m)
Projected: 5.94 pts | xG 0.30 | xA 0.37 | pStart 82%
2. Palmer, CHE (MID, £10.6m)
Projected: 4.87 pts | xG 0.34 | xA 0.09 | pStart 79%
3. Thiaw, NEW (DEF, £5.0m)
Projected: 4.73 pts | xG 0.19 | xA 0.05 | pStart 84%
4. Virgil, LIV (DEF, £6.2m)
Projected: 4.64 pts | xG 0.15 | xA 0.04 | pStart 84%
5. João Pedro, CHE (FWD, £7.7m)
Projected: 4.58 pts | xG 0.45 | xA 0.03 | pStart 76%
Sell Candidates
Van de Ven, TOT (£4.4m)
Price pressure: -167,617 net transfers (high) Fixture run: GW31: vsNFO | GW32: @SUN | GW33: vsBHA
Rogers, AVL (£7.5m)
Price pressure: -156,093 net transfers (high) Fixture run: GW31: vsWHU | GW32: @NFO | GW33: vsSUN
Roefs, SUN (£4.9m)
Price pressure: -123,220 net transfers (high) Fixture run: GW31: @NEW | GW32: vsTOT | GW33: @AVL
Budget Options
Garner, EVE (MID, £5.2m)
Value: 24.8 pts/£m | 129 total points
Stach, LEE (MID, £4.7m)
Value: 24.3 pts/£m | 114 total points
Anderson, NFO (MID, £5.5m)
Value: 23.8 pts/£m | 131 total points
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Prices and ownership from FPL API as of 2026-03-12. Subject to change before deadline.
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